Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 24.024453 27.331221 30.947168 35.197909 40.062414 45.460530 51.912128
2024-12-29 19.041498 23.508960 28.823400 35.625774 44.123061 54.415492 67.871488
2025-01-05 15.620697 20.591939 26.919811 35.597186 47.238723 62.389696 83.722887
2025-01-12 12.884788 17.929026 24.719528 34.580922 48.625064 68.041007 97.151468
2025-01-19 11.032478 16.080994 23.212651 34.096142 50.421266 74.212324 111.903854
2025-01-26 10.054256 15.280166 22.990061 35.296576 54.647829 84.239276 133.552323
2025-02-02 9.373239 14.796984 23.121897 36.967947 59.704336 96.049926 159.524301
2025-02-09 8.553881 13.974481 22.597601 37.484698 62.913963 105.245380 182.419690
2025-02-16 7.617732 12.837175 21.413890 36.731715 63.855029 110.711832 199.575640
2025-02-23 6.846299 11.876068 20.395391 36.102400 64.871598 116.339952 217.664957
2025-03-02 6.208528 11.067325 19.535565 35.625058 66.055098 122.334379 237.150344
2025-03-09 5.723932 10.472892 18.979223 35.614570 68.063213 130.031838 260.893469
2025-03-16 5.251842 9.866572 18.365384 35.482200 69.939162 137.940038 286.722253
2025-03-23 5.007825 9.663176 18.481577 36.780823 74.819869 152.450210 328.584520
2025-03-30 4.666983 9.233506 18.114627 37.068352 77.676364 163.213614 364.077831
2025-04-06 4.230934 8.565543 17.202730 36.119561 77.797691 168.204279 387.407147
2025-04-13 3.893576 8.060162 16.560303 35.651802 78.876539 175.365045 416.765244
2025-04-20 3.751860 7.946664 16.714163 36.924341 83.988753 192.215766 471.950673
2025-04-27 3.660389 7.929659 17.068388 38.681995 90.438158 213.015662 540.289001
2025-05-04 3.474866 7.686327 16.902819 39.225852 94.085648 227.634775 595.182929
2025-05-11 3.205121 7.226201 16.206093 38.437022 94.389943 234.095962 629.522581
2025-05-18 2.969855 6.821137 15.593065 37.777416 94.930537 241.218502 666.831195
2025-05-25 2.766412 6.469973 15.069521 37.277008 95.813670 249.342018 708.302658